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PTF senaryo ve net gelir analizi

Varsayılan hesap, referans dönemine ait saatlik PTF ve üretim profili üzerinden yapılır; kurulu gücünüzü ve isteğe bağlı dağıtım bedelini girebilir veya kendi üretim dosyanızı yükleyebilirsiniz. Referans veri yüklenemezse sentetik yedek senaryo devreye girer.

Parametreler

Senaryo parametreleri

Boş bırakırsanız varsayılan dağıtım bedeli 1,50 TL/kWh uygulanır (referans dosyası yoksa sentetik PTF senaryosu).

Referans saatlik veri yükleniyor…

What is the PTF scenario analysis?

This tool is aimed at operators who need PTF- and grid/distribution-charge-based revenue scenarios under the rules that apply to unlicensed solar plants after they complete the 10-year period.

It combines the day-ahead market price (PTF) with your grid/distribution charge (TRY/kWh) to estimate hourly gross revenue, grid cost, and net revenue. It highlights hours where the margin is negative and shows the impact on net revenue if you keep producing in those hours.

  • Primarily suited to teams operating unlicensed solar plants that have completed the 10-year period; useful for portfolio or single-plant scenario work by operations and finance users.
  • The default run uses a fixed reference period of sample hourly PTF and production; you can upload your own production file to align with your site.
  • Results are for information only; actual settlement, regulation, contracts, and market conditions may differ.

About PTF and this tool

What is PTF?

PTF (Market Clearing Price) is the hourly day-ahead reference price in Türkiye's electricity market. Here it is used as the assumed unit price for your energy sales. The grid/distribution charge you enter (TRY/kWh) represents your cost side; the difference between the two is the hourly unit margin. This aligns with evaluating unlicensed solar plants on a PTF basis once the 10-year period is complete.

Who is it for?

  • Operations or finance teams at unlicensed solar sites that have completed the 10-year period
  • Users who want to quantify margin-negative hours and the effect of curtailing or stopping production
  • Technical teams who want to load production from Excel to mirror their plant more closely

What does this page calculate?

For each hour, production (kWh) is multiplied by PTF and by the grid charge to obtain gross revenue and grid cost; the difference is net revenue. If the margin is negative and there is production, that hour's net loss contributes to the avoidable total. Monthly and annual figures roll up from these hourly rows.

Data and reference period

The default scenario uses a fixed reference hourly dataset; if it cannot be loaded in your browser, a synthetic fallback is used. Figures update instantly when you change rated capacity or the distribution charge.

Disclaimer

This screen is not investment, legal, or tax advice. For official billing, market settlement, and tariff details, refer to your contracts and the relevant institutions.